July 15, 2024

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Why Is John Wiley & Sons (JW.A) Down 2.7% Since Last Earnings Report?

A month has gone by since the last earnings report for John Wiley & Sons (JW.A). Shares have lost about 2.7% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.

Will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is John Wiley & Sons due for a breakout? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let’s take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important catalysts.

John Wiley Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, View Raised

John Wiley’s third-quarter fiscal 2020 adjusted earnings of 68 cents per share rose 11.5% year over year. Also, at constant-currency (cc) the metric increased by 10%. The upside can be attributable to reduced effective tax rate. Moreover, the bottom line surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 52 cents.

Revenues of $467.1 million advanced 4% year over year (also at cc), The Zacks Consensus Estimate was pegged at $467.2 million. Strength in the Research Publishing & Platforms, Education Services and Academic & Professional Learning division fueled the top line. Excluding the impact of acquisitions, organic revenues rose 2% at cc in the quarter.

Adjusted operating income increased 4% year over year to $51.8 million, owing to growth in revenues. Adjusted EBITDA rose 6% (7% at cc) to $95.5 million.

Segmental Details

The Research Publishing & Platforms segment consists of Research Publishing and Research Platforms businesses. In the third quarter, revenues rose 3% year over year (also at cc) to $233.6 million on higher open access publishing volumes. Research Publishing grew 2% and Research Platforms increased 12%. The segment’s adjusted contribution to profit rose 5% at cc.

The Academic & Professional Learning segment includes the Education Publishing and Professional Learning businesses. Revenues in the segment inched up 1% on a reported basis and 2% at cc to $178.3 million on the back of higher contribution from zyBooks and Knewton acquisitions as well as humble organic growth in Higher Education publishing. Further, excluding contributions from the acquisitions of zyBooks and Knewton, organic revenues declined 2% at cc. Adjusted contribution to profit slumped 18% at cc during the quarter under review.

The Education Services revenues segment increased 20% on a reported basis and 19% at cc to $55.3 million. The upside was backed by gains from mthree buyout as well as a 10% rise in organic revenues. Also, adjusted contribution to profit from the segment rallied 30% at cc in the quarter.

Other Financial Updates & Guidance

John Wiley ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $117.4 million, long-term debt of $789.6 million and total shareholders’ equity of $1,197.2 million. The company generated $88.9 million of cash from operating activities in the nine months ended Jan 31, 2020. Further, it provided free cash flow (net of Product Development Spending) of nearly $5 million year to date. For fiscal 2020, the company still anticipates free cash flow in the range of $210-$230 million.

During the third quarter, John Wiley bought back 205,370 shares for $10 million and paid out cash dividends of $19 million.

Management raised its adjusted EPS guidance to $2.45-$2.55. The company had earlier envisioned the metric in the rage of $2.35-$2.45. Further, management reiterated fiscal 2020 view for revenues and EBITDA. The company anticipates revenues for fiscal 2020 in the range of $1,855-$1,885 million. John Wiley still expects adjusted EBITDA in the band of $357-$372 million.

How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?

It turns out, estimates review have trended downward during the past month. The consensus estimate has shifted -10.59% due to these changes.

VGM Scores

At this time, John Wiley & Sons has an average Growth Score of C, a grade with the same score on the momentum front. However, the stock was allocated a grade of A on the value side, putting it in the top 20% for this investment strategy.

Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of A. If you aren’t focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.

Outlook

Estimates have been broadly trending downward for the stock, and the magnitude of this revision indicates a downward shift. Notably, John Wiley & Sons has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). We expect an above average return from the stock in the next few months.

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