If you love investing in stocks you’re bound to buy some losers. Long term Horizon Discovery Group plc (LON:HZD) shareholders know that all too well, since the share price is down considerably over three years. Unfortunately, they have held through a 58% decline in the share price in that time. The more recent news is of little comfort, with the share price down 29% in a year. In contrast, the stock price has popped 9.4% in the last thirty days.
Check out our latest analysis for Horizon Discovery Group
Given that Horizon Discovery Group didn’t make a profit in the last twelve months, we’ll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one does expect good top-line growth.
Over three years, Horizon Discovery Group grew revenue at 35% per year. That’s well above most other pre-profit companies. The share price has moved in quite the opposite direction, down 16% over that time, a bad result. It seems likely that the market is worried about the continual losses. But a share price drop of that magnitude could well signal that the market is overly negative on the stock.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
It’s good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That’s a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. You can see what analysts are predicting for Horizon Discovery Group in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.
A Different Perspective
We regret to report that Horizon Discovery Group shareholders are down 29% for the year. Unfortunately, that’s worse than the broader market decline of 13%. Having said that, it’s inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year’s performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 6.1% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should “buy when there is blood on the streets”, but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It’s always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Horizon Discovery Group better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we’ve discovered 2 warning signs for Horizon Discovery Group that you should be aware of before investing here.
Horizon Discovery Group is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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